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Samuel Popkin: What it Takes to Become President in 2012

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Commonwealth Club of California

Commonwealth Club

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Partner:: Commonwealth Club
Location:: SF Club Office
San Francisco, CA
Event Date:: 06.25.12
Speakers:: Gerald C. Lubenow,; Samuel Popkin
Tags:: 2012 election; partisanship; president obama; mitt romney; campaigning; barack obama; congress

Summary: Samuel Popkin, author of The Candidate: What it Takes to Win - and Hold - the White House, will share his take on the politics of presidential campaigns, and what it takes to become President in 2012. This topic couldn’t be timelier, amid the ongoing primaries and the upcoming presidential election. Filled with entertaining characters and lively stories from campaigns past, his new book takes a look at previous elections and brings us up to speed on the 2012 election season.

Bio

Gerald C. Lubenow

Jerry Lubenow consults on a wide variety of projects for Center on Politics and the Publications Division at the Institute of Governmental Studies. He received his B.A. from Harvard and did graduate work in journalism at the University of Wisconsin. He joined Newsweek as a correspondent in 1965 and served as bureau chief in San Francisco and London from 1969 to 1989. He covered the presidential campaigns of George Wallace, Hubert Humphrey, George McGovern, Jerry Brown, and Ronald Reagan. Lubenow received the Gavel Award of the American Bar Association and two Page One Awards from the Newspaper Guild of New York, one for National Reporting and another for News Feature Writing. He is the Editor of California Votes: The 1990 Governor's Race, California Votes: the 1994 Governor's Race, and California Votes: the 1998 Governor's Race.

Samuel Popkin

Popkin has published in unusually diverse areas. His most recent book is The Candidate: What it Takes to Win (and Hold) the White House. Earlier he authored The Reasoning Voter: Communication and Persuasion in Presidential Campaigns ; co-authored Issues and Strategies: The Computer Simulation of Presidential Campaigns; and he co-edited Chief of Staff: Twenty-Five Years of Managing the Presidency. He is equally well known for his work on peasant society, with particular reference to East and Southeast Asia, includingThe Rational Peasant: The Political Economy of Rural Society in Vietnam. Popkin has also been a consulting analyst in presidential campaigns, serving as consultant to the Clinton campaign on polling and strategy, to the CBS News election units from 1983 to 1990 on survey design and analysis, and more recently to the Gore campaign. He has also served as consultant to political parties in Canada and Europe and to the Departments of State and Defense. His current research focuses on presidential campaigns and the relationship of public opinion to foreign policy.

Chapters

: Watch Full Program

01 hr 04 min 57 sec

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01.: Introduction

01 min 39 sec

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02.: What Makes a Good Candidate?

01 min 31 sec

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03.: The Challenger

07 min 17 sec

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04.: Judging an Incumbent from a Challenger

03 min 54 sec

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05.: Divided Government Issues

06 min 14 sec

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06.: Challenges Ahead

04 min 28 sec

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07.: Q1: Stopping the Amount of Money in Politics?

02 min 44 sec

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08.: Q2: Does Who Spends the Most Win?

00 min 35 sec

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09.: Q3: Could Romney Have Won the Nomination If He Changed His Positions?

00 min 57 sec

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10.: Q4: Immigration Decision?

01 min 34 sec

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11.: Q5: Feelings on the Supreme Court?

00 min 59 sec

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12.: Q7: How Will Supreme Court Decisions Affect the Campaign?

01 min 18 sec

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13.: Q8: Commonalities of Defeated Incumbents?

01 min 53 sec

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14.: Q9: Why Is Everyone Turning Down Romney's Vice Presidency?

03 min 06 sec

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15.: Q10: Working Class Americans Voting Against Their Interests?

01 min 11 sec

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16.: Q11: Viciousness of Partisan Politics?

02 min 18 sec

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17.: Q12: How Will the Assault on Unions Affect the Election?

00 min 36 sec

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18.: Q13: Ranking Obama's Levers of Presidential Influence if Romney Wins?

03 min 10 sec

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19.: Q14: What Will Be Obama's Domestic Concerns If He Wins?

01 min 35 sec

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20.: Q15: What Have Obama and Romney Learned from Past Campaigns?

02 min 28 sec

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21.: Q16: Impact of New Media on the Election?

04 min 06 sec

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22.: Q17: Does Obama Use the Teleprompter More Than Others?

01 min 45 sec

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23.: Q18: Obama's Personality Problems?

01 min 54 sec

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24.: Q19: Romney's Personality Problems?

04 min 32 sec

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25.: Q20: What Can We Learn About How Romney Will Lead from Governorship?

01 min 14 sec

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26.: Q21: Hillary as a Vice President for Obama?

02 min 02 sec

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: Watch Full Program

01 hr 04 min 57 sec

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Popkin: Obama Curing 'Obsessive Bipartisan Disorder'

02 min 39 sec

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Samuel Popkin, Professor of Political Science at Harvard University, analyses Obama's 2012 campaign strategy. Popkin explains how to judge an incumbent's campaign from a challenger's. According to Popkin, Obama is learning to more effectively play the divided government.
Watch Full Program

01 hr 04 min 57 sec

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