Climate change “is going to dominate our world in the next century. It’s a very big risk, but it’s also a tremendous opportunity, if we make the right choices,” says Dan Miller.
Miller, Managing Director at the venture capital firm The Roda Group, told a Climate One audience in San Francisco on November 18 that climate change is also treated much differently than other global threats. We spend billions on counterterrorism, to combat AIDS and other infectious diseases, to prevent a nuclear reactor meltdown, “but these kinds of risks have very low probabilities of actually affecting you. Yet we still worry about them a lot and are willing to take government action to combat them.”
“Climate change, on the other hand, if we don’t address it, has the likely outcome – as opposed to a small outcome – the likely outcome that it will have catastrophic effects for nearly everyone,” he said.
After reciting a depressing list of climate change impacts that are likely to or are already damaging the Earth’s natural systems – among them sea-level rise, drought, wildfires, melting permafrost, collapse of ice sheets, ocean acidification – Miller asked the salient question: “Why do we not act? Why, when we know the problem is huge, do we totally ignore it?”
Evolutionary psychology offers some answers, he said. “We learn to focus on certain things and ignore other things.” He identified the factors working against action on climate change: CO2 and other planet-warming pollutants are invisible; the challenge is unprecedented; the causality is complex; the impacts are unpredictable and indirect; and all of us are complicit.
Once one acknowledges the reality of climate change, there is a corresponding obligation to act, Miller said. He added that individual action begins with asking our children for forgiveness, before moving on to reducing your carbon footprint, and believing, learning and engaging. What can countries do? Miller offered four recommendations: move to 100% carbon-free electricity in 10 to 20 years; keep tar sands and oil shale in the ground; expand R&D into geo-engineering, especially carbon capture and storage; and put a price on carbon.
Miller’s preferred carbon-pricing vehicle is a so-called Clean Energy Dividend. A carbon fee would be added upstream, at the mine, power plant, refinery, or factory – enough to gradually raise the price of gasoline by $1 per gallon. Then, the federal government returns 100% of the proceeds on a per capita basis to citizens via a monthly check, with parents receiving one-half shares for up to two children.
“That would drive a new economy of renewable energy and energy efficiency. I think most people would like it. I think conservatives would like it. It doesn’t raise any money for the government,” said Miller. “I can tell you there are a lot of companies out there that are not getting investment now because there’s no price on carbon. They’re fighting an unfair battle against fossil fuels that are not only not paying for the bad effects they have, but they’re even being subsidized.”
But what if an avowed climate change skeptic such as Rick Perry were to win the White House next November, asked a member of the audience. “We can do the wrong thing. We have been doing the wrong thing,” said Miller. “To me, this is a pretty obvious choice. The downside of not addressing climate change is really a not a place anybody would want to go if they understood what it meant. No one – including Rick Perry.”
“The alternative, of doing something about it, would not only address this really bad thing down the road, but would actually be good for the economy,” he said.
Bio
Greg Dalton
Gregory Dalton is chief operating officer at the Commonwealth Club of California and Director of The Club's Climate 1 Initiative. He previously was international editor at The Industry Standard magazine, an editor for the Associated Press in New York, and a correspondent in China and Canada for the South China Morning Post, a Hong Kong newspaper.
Proficient in both Mandarin and Cantonese, he is a former term member of the Council on Foreign Relations.
Dan Miller
Dan Miller is Managing Director of the Roda Group. He is the former president of Ask Jeeves, Inc., a Roda Group affiliate company. He is currently working with a number of Roda Group affiliated companies to assist them with their business development efforts. Mr. Miller sits on the Board of several Roda Group companies.
At the end of 1994, Mr. Miller retired from his position as Executive Vice President of TCSI Corporation (Nasdaq: TCSI), a company he co-founded with his Roda Group partner, Roger Strauch. Mr. Miller retired from the Board of Directors of TCSI in June of 1997. TCSI is a leading provider of integrated software products and services for the global telecommunications industry.
Prior to TCSI, Mr. Miller was a systems engineer at Hughes Aircraft's Space and Communications Group where he was responsible for designing communications payloads for commercial communications satellites.